Mountain Tūī

Mountain Tūī

Why isn't the opposition ahead?

Unemployment metrics are at 10-15 year highs, cities full of Kiwi citizens are fleeing at 35 year record highs, business failures - 10 year high, beneficiaries surpassed 400,000, serious crime is up.

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Mountain Tūī
Oct 21, 2025
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First let’s look at data again:

Crime is deteriorating on most counts: sexual assault, violent crime, homicide, drugs



But it hasn’t stopped Luxon and ACT touting otherwise

Luxon signs a handwritten note and posts it on social media yesterday


National and ACT appears to have cherrypicked data to suggest the above:

Notice only the top line is down - all other categories, and total youth crime is up

Source: Ministry of Justice (Courtesy: Richard)

Good for the PR government?

The Coalition is a PR government - form over function, presentation over substance.

But multiple polls today show that the government is not winning their battle on the strikes:

Newsroom has a similar report showing “65% support” for the strikes - including from Coalition voters.

Who would have thought Kiwis back doctors, nurses, teachers, firefighters and social community workers over politicians?


It all comes as Public Service Commissioner Brian Roche politicises the Public Service Commission to run attack ads with taxpayers’ money

This is from the same Brian Roche who told the Public Service they should be professional and “politically neutral” when he was first appointed.

Hypocrisy seems to run deep in National Party appointed individuals.


Why isn’t the opposition further ahead in the polls?

This isn’t a detailed analysis but one clue is here -

Courtesy: Leon

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