Mountain Tūī

Mountain Tūī

Paid Subscribers

Crime Soaring, National Party Dropping

Plus: Jacinda Ardern remains NZ's most popular politician

Mountain Tūī's avatar
Mountain Tūī
Oct 14, 2025
∙ Paid

Partial paywall

Crime UP

One thing that has bothered me over recent months is the challenge of finding good data or articles about crime.

I have a sense it must be up even as police are pulling back from mental health calls, and failing to even look at thousands of retail crimes.

Gang numbers are also surging to record highs despite Mark Mitchell artificially culling the list. And gangs are making double profits under National with police unable to clamp down on the escalating drug crisis across NZ, running in parallel with the homelessness epidemic.

Food banks are stretched, charities are closing and/or overrun, and the cost of living crisis hitting a majority.

So I was glad to find a summary

The source of the data is the Ministry of Justice

And this gentleman (Richard) was blocked by the National Party after he pointed this data out to them under the following “advertisement”.

That’s not surprising because National are not interested in facts. They are only interested in perception and image manipulation.

As a friend once said though “National really is pro-crime”.

i.e They are big on slogans, but pro the root causes of crime - disenfranchisement, depression, loss of hope, poverty, helplessness, etc.


FACT: Ram Raids were already coming down under Labour

Source: NZ Police



Luxon sinks, Hipkins shows hope

Many may already know that Curia Market Research was going to be suspended from RANZ (the professional polling body) before David Farrar “resigned” his membership.

And Curia’s history of polling is highly problematic (outside of political polls which I can only personally speculate that Farrar tries to keep realistic especially around election time).

So I’m always pleased to review other polls.

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Mountain Tui · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture